Taiwanese tycoon Terry Guo Tai-min has finally declared his 2024 presidential candidacy. But in a crowded field where the incumbent Vice President is pulling ahead, what is his path to victory?
郭董 finally made up his mind! (With a little help from Mazu, of course)
In all seriousness though; I don't see the point? I think he's doing this to force Ko into a corner since both of them seemingly would attract similar demographics to their base, but I don't think that Ko will yield in any sense. Politics makes strange bedfellows, but its not hard to see how its nearly over, barring all 3 consolidating under one candidate.
Yeah this, the problem is that, the guys that are most likely to merge (Ko and Gou) have abit of an ego complex that probably will be the major blocking point between a consolidation, and I don't see a consolidation with the KMT likely (for that grand Pan-Blue alliance ticket):
-Ko ran on an entire "we're going to be the THIRD FORCE" shtick, and thus its not really helpful for him to be working with the establishment
-Gou got snubbed by the KMT, I don't think his bitterness would just make him suddenly hug it out with the guys (also the KMT might hate his ass because he promised he wouldn't do dumb things like this)
I think for now things might change, but I'm thinking... 80-20 on the 'no consolidation' thing, (guys, this isn't Californian jungle primaries). I think a more interesting bit would be the Legislative Yuan elections. I normally would say that Lai doesn't necessarily have the coattails to carry the DPP into another legislative majority, but with KMT members defecting to Gou's "Mainstream Opinion Alliance" and the TPP potentially coming into conflict, there is a chance that the Pan-Blue just spoil their way to another 4 years of a DPP legislative majority.
My hope is that the DPP do adapt on certain points that the KMT/TPP are better at (I think nuclear is that one major point I disagree with the DPP on), but I do think the lack of the challenge might lead to some of the same inaction the DPP had during the Tsai administration on (clearly very important) domestic issues like housing.
Shall reiterate I am an outsider commenting on this, I come from Singapore, our dear favourite country that the KMT so loves to model its political platform on :D
郭董 finally made up his mind! (With a little help from Mazu, of course)
In all seriousness though; I don't see the point? I think he's doing this to force Ko into a corner since both of them seemingly would attract similar demographics to their base, but I don't think that Ko will yield in any sense. Politics makes strange bedfellows, but its not hard to see how its nearly over, barring all 3 consolidating under one candidate.
Nobody knows at this point. Everybody wants to consolidate, nobody want to be veep.
Yeah this, the problem is that, the guys that are most likely to merge (Ko and Gou) have abit of an ego complex that probably will be the major blocking point between a consolidation, and I don't see a consolidation with the KMT likely (for that grand Pan-Blue alliance ticket):
-Ko ran on an entire "we're going to be the THIRD FORCE" shtick, and thus its not really helpful for him to be working with the establishment
-Gou got snubbed by the KMT, I don't think his bitterness would just make him suddenly hug it out with the guys (also the KMT might hate his ass because he promised he wouldn't do dumb things like this)
I think for now things might change, but I'm thinking... 80-20 on the 'no consolidation' thing, (guys, this isn't Californian jungle primaries). I think a more interesting bit would be the Legislative Yuan elections. I normally would say that Lai doesn't necessarily have the coattails to carry the DPP into another legislative majority, but with KMT members defecting to Gou's "Mainstream Opinion Alliance" and the TPP potentially coming into conflict, there is a chance that the Pan-Blue just spoil their way to another 4 years of a DPP legislative majority.
My hope is that the DPP do adapt on certain points that the KMT/TPP are better at (I think nuclear is that one major point I disagree with the DPP on), but I do think the lack of the challenge might lead to some of the same inaction the DPP had during the Tsai administration on (clearly very important) domestic issues like housing.
Shall reiterate I am an outsider commenting on this, I come from Singapore, our dear favourite country that the KMT so loves to model its political platform on :D